Archive for the ‘Forex’ Category

Forex Trade Idea #103: Long USDJPY (Closed -54)

Wednesday, December 9, 2009 11:01 No Comments

I’m calling a “low stress” buy trade on the USDJPY; We will be buying the breakout level at 88.3. Place your stop at 87.9, move stop to breakeven once it hits 89.5 or take your profits if you like.
Buy: 88.3
Stop: 87.9
Targets: 90/92.4/94
Trade opened at 88.44

This was posted under category: Forex, Trade Signal Tags: ,

Forex Trade Idea #102: Long USDCHF (Closed +272)

Thursday, December 3, 2009 14:46 4 Comments

Buy: 0.9980/90
Stop: 0.9932
Targets: 1.0095 / 1.0125 / 1.00225
Move stop to breakeven on 60 pips profit.

If it closes above that blue line, that’s another buy signal for me.

Disclaimer:
Foreign exchange trading and investment in derivatives can be very speculative and may result in losses as well as profits. Foreign exchange and derivatives trading entails a considerable risk [...]

This was posted under category: Forex, Trade Signal Tags: ,

Long AUDUSD

Sunday, November 8, 2009 16:02 1 Comment

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised the cash rate to 3.5% on Monday last week, as expected by analysts. A few hours before the actual announcement, I thought that if true, the annoucement should obviously make the currency pair a buy, right? Right, but not on the very minute the announcement was made. It [...]

This was posted under category: Forex Tags: ,

Long GBPUSD

Tuesday, October 20, 2009 9:32 No Comments

The British pound last week was extremely bullish across the board.
Before the spectacular run up of GBP, I’ve detected an AB=CD pattern in the 4-hour chart which is confirmed with an RSI BAMM setup. With these two patterns, the probability of a reversal is high.
I went long on the British pound last week [...]

This was posted under category: Forex Tags: ,

Short EURUSD

Tuesday, October 20, 2009 9:31 1 Comment

The Euro has been going up since the beginning of this year. It seems like nothing could stop its ascend especially now that the US Dollar keeps getting weaker and weaker. I say it’s time for major correction.
If EURUSD reaches 1.5025 / 1.5070 this week, that would complete the AB=CD pattern in the 4-hour timeframe, [...]

This was posted under category: Forex Tags: ,

USD-PHP Outlook (Oct. 2009)

Monday, October 5, 2009 11:45 No Comments

The PHP has been consolidating since the last time we wrote about it.  Earlier, we thought that given the recent trend, it was very possible that the peso was going to return to the 52 peso level.
As it happened recently, the peso has proven us wrong. Given the neutral nature of the symmetrical triangle formation, [...]

This was posted under category: Forex, USD-PHP Outlook Tags: , ,

USD/Peso Outlook (July 13, 2009)

Monday, July 13, 2009 9:04 No Comments

It has been some time since I last wrote about the USD-PHP.  Since October 2008, it has been going sideways up to the present.
But what is clear is that from an uptrend, a symmetrical triangle is forming.  Therefore, I am assuming that after the current consolidation, the ascent will continue.
Should the USD breach the 49 [...]

This was posted under category: Forex, USD-PHP Outlook Tags: , ,

DJIA Outlook for May 11 – 15, 2009

Sunday, May 10, 2009 20:20 No Comments

Things seem to be looking better for the DJIA.  Not only has it stayed above the 50 and 100-day Moving Averages, but it is nearing the 200-day Moving Average at 8996.
Despite this, the general trend of the index remains sideways since October 2008.  Is it gearing itself for a reversal?  Maybe, maybe not.  Until the [...]

This was posted under category: DJIA Outlook, Events, Forex, US Market Tags: ,

HK market pick May 08, 2009

Friday, May 8, 2009 1:25 No Comments

Citic Pacific (267)
Perfect Box Breakout Chart.
The drama of this chart is very simple.  The breakdown from 20 dollars to 4 dollars was mainly the derivative losses coming from the company’s AUDUSD position.  If you look at the AUDUSD currency chart position, it is very similar.  They are identical twins.
The AUDUSD chart looks like it’s going [...]

This was posted under category: Forex, Hang Seng Tags: ,

USD/PHP Outlook for Dec. 2 – 5, 2008

Sunday, November 30, 2008 21:04 No Comments

After seeing a bearish outside day, the USD has performed as expected.  We expected the uptrend of the USD to be broken and correct to lower levels.  But how low can it go?
The first thing that contributed to the correction was, as we said earlier, the bearish outside day.  The second thing that we can [...]

This was posted under category: Forex, USD-PHP Outlook Tags: